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Is FM's Realism Helping Fans Strategise Their Football Betting?

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Discover how Football Manager, with its detailed data and realistic simulations, serves as a valuable tool for accurate football predictions.
Is FM's Realism Helping Fans Strategise Their Football Betting?

Unlocking Real-Life Football Predictions with Football Manager’s Accurate Data


It’s almost hard to believe that Football Manager can be realistic enough to be a pretty solid prediction model for real life. If you play certain console games (not naming any names), then you might see Erling Haaland transferring to Leyton Orient at some point in the future. Which is not so realistic.

Football Manager isn’t like that, and the mechanics of the game, combined with huge teams of scouts working on following players and giving them ratings on all their attributes, make it the most realistic representation of football there is in terms of accurate statistics and players.

People who play the game tend to be real sticklers for numbers and statistics, and this means that they may use the data that has been collected on the Football Manager game in order to try and work out how certain things will pan out in the future. Theymay even use the statistics for placing bets on football and working out what they think the result will be between two teams.

Football Manager can teach people about players’ skills


It is very important to establish the fact that the FM database is based somewhat on opinions, but these are usually the opinions of skilled professionals, and a combination of scouts.

Football Manager can be used by clubs to create shortlists of potential new signings and evaluate their squads. ‘For years we’ve heard stories of real-life managers and scouts using our data to help with the recruitment process’, Miles Jacobson once said. Jacobson is the Studio Director at Sports Interactive, so he knows a bit about what is happening within the game and in the wider footballing community.

In the current world of football gambling, there are more individual markets than ever, and some people are choosing to perform research based on the FM database and the player attributes it provides. For example, if there is a player who has high attributes related to shooting and composure, it might be a good bet that they will have a shot on target. If a player has a high tackling score and a high aggression score, they might be snapping into challenges, which could also mean that there is a good chance they will be committing a few fouls.

Of course, there are no guarantees, so it is important to understand that the attributes are just a guide.

Football Manager can simulate matchups


FM players will also know that the game can often provide some sort of simulation of how two teams will get on against one another, meaning that there are some ways that players can set up a game to achieve a relatively good simulation.

However, it is also important to remember that FM is a game, and the further you get into that game, the more variation there may be from real life:

  • Players get transferred. Just like in real life, players move around from one club to another, and this can change any simulation of the game.
  • Players get better and worse, just like in the ups and downs of any football career. A lot of players at the start of the game have high potential that they haven’t necessarily fulfilled yet, but this can change as time goes on. A lot of people fill their teams with these wonderkids in Football Manager, but this doesn’t provide the most realistic representation of teams playing each other in real life.
  • Teams may experience events such as financial takeovers and changes in their squad during the game, which can change the way any simulations of games in the match engine work.

Football Manager can be part of a suite of analysis tools


People who are looking to create a strategy for their gambling on football are likely to be looking for as many tools as possible. Football Manager can certainly help when it comes to evaluating players and their levels of ability. For instance, if you are watching a team play against someone from another league in Europe, you can check out their squad using the Football Manager database to see what their players are like.

This isn’t the only tool to use, and people should certainly look at a lot of other aspects that go into the outcome of a game or the individual markets within a game. Gamblers should pay close attention to the form of teams and individuals, and what has been happening in real life and give this priority over FM.

Bookmakers and football betting sites often provide a lot of tools for people to look at players’ form and teams’ prior results. Markets such as shots on target and fouls are now a big part of betting, and this requires the consideration of factors such as how combative and aggressive a player is.

Conclusion


Football Manager helps to improve bettor’s football knowledge and understanding of teams and players. In turn, this can help people to predict the outcome of games, but there is only so much that this tool can do, and players should still combine their use of FM with an overview of what is happening in real life.

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FM Blog | FM24: Is FM's Realism Helping Fans Strategise Their Football Betting?
Is FM's Realism Helping Fans Strategise Their Football Betting?
Discover how Football Manager, with its detailed data and realistic simulations, serves as a valuable tool for accurate football predictions.
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